Rough Roster Breakdown

After seeing most of the last two nights... here is how I would think the roster shakes out.

Goaltenders -

Jacob DeSerres (18)
Calvin Pickard (16)

Kyle Jahraus (18)

Jahraus will be needed at some point this season but I can't see them actively holding him in Seattle.

Forwards -

Locks to make the roster

Ashton Hewson (20)
Devon Leblanc (20)
David Richard (19)
Prab Rai (19)
Lindsay Nielsen (19)
Jim O'Brien (19)
Jeremy Boyer (18)
Charles Wells (17)
Brenden Silvester (17)
Chance Lund (16)

That is 10 forwards. I imagine they will keep 13 or 14 so we're looking at 3 or 4 spots for the following.

Matt Hallick (19)
Matt Betker (19)
Chip Petrino (18)
Spencer Edwards (18)
Isak Quakenbush (18)
Mike Krgovich (18)
Luke Lockhart (16)

I don't see them keeping two 16 year old forwards so I think Lockhart is out. I think Quakenbush is in. He has too much size and potential to be left off the roster. I think at some point he has to produce in some games in order to keep a spot on the roster but he has looked good and improved in camp so far and I think they aren't ready to give up on him. I think Krgovich is in as well. I think Chip Petrino has looked really solid in the games I have seen and he could have an edge on Edwards. I haven't really seen much out of Hallick so far so I think I would give the edge to Betker and Petrino.

My 3 would then be Quakenbush, Krgovich, Betker with Petrino, Edwards and Hallick battling for the last forward spot. All of them could be kept around initially with players gone to NHL camps.

Defense -

Locks

Thomas Hickey (19)
Brenden Dillon (18)
Sena Acolatse (18)
Stefan Warg (18)
Brad Haber (18)
Steve Chaffin (17)

Lots of questions after these 6 and I think there are 3 more spots for the full season and 1 or 2 additionally while kids are at camp.

Jeremy Schappert (18)
Eddie Friesen (18)
Reid Johnson (17)
Kaydon Trumbley (17)
Eric Fleming (16)
Brandon Carlson (16)

What happens with Jeremy Schappert is anyones guess. I've heard he has a shoulder problem again and could be out half the year, but I haven't seen him around and I have no idea. At this moment I think the team waits for him to recover by mid-season to see if he can contribute this season. I think Carlson has looked a lot more solid than Fleming and I think Trumbley gives them some added muscle on the blue line.

My guess is that Friesen stays for now with Trumbley, Carlson and perhaps Fleming with Schappert up in the air and Johnson being the odd man out.

Now... lets assume everyone is back from NHL camps. I would imagine roughly 13 forwards and 9 defensemen and 2 goaltenders. DeSerres and Pickard are the goaltenders.

If you have to hold my feet to the fire... here is who I would go with.

Forwards

Ashton Hewson (20)
Devon Leblanc (20)
David Richard (19)
Prab Rai (19)
Lindsay Nielsen (19)
Jim O'Brien (19)
Matt Betker (19)
Jeremy Boyer (18)
Isak Quakenbush (18)
Mike Krgovich (18)
Charles Wells (17)
Brenden Silvester (17)
Chance Lund (16)

Defensemen

Thomas Hickey (19)
Jeremy Schappert* (18)
Brenden Dillon (18)
Sena Acolatse (18)
Stefan Warg (18)
Brad Haber (18)
Eddie Friesen (18)
Steve Chaffin (17)
Erik Fleming (16)
Brandon Carlson (16)

Yes I just listed 10 players... because we know for at least half the season Schappert won't be around. I think Trumbley might be the odd man out unless the Tbirds decide to let Fleming and/or Carlson develop away from the team for another year.

So there is my best guess people... talk to me about what you think.